It is interesting how simple extrapolations go so wrong as trajectory of things in real life does not follow mathematical and scientific models. But there are always signs and pointers which can help predict the trajectory - the key is to identify the right ones among the clutter and then find more and more until you can make sense of it...
To attempt trajectory of current let me put in perspective of what I am attempting by illustrating some trajectories of past
- Who thought that Apple would become the biggest cell phone company in the world in last 2 yrs, by selling only one model and its variations? It was not in phone business at all!
- Who thought that Pakistan will be torn apart by the very same demons it created to torment India and its other neighbors? India did not play any part in it, as it never had the will and wherewithal to take on the demon!
- Who thought that a black man with a Muslim linkage will become President of US? Both are suppose to be insurmountable libalities, which actually turned out to be an asset for an otherwise non-existent track record
- Who thought that some company can make billions out of a search engine and that dot com would again rise like Phoenix within 3 yrs after its spectacular bust?
And there are many more... things that are established facts today sounded like a wild flight of imagination some years back...
Speculators make a fortune if their speculations work out, they also become paupers if it does not. A successful speculator will tell you that healthy appetite for risk is not the only factor that makes them click, it is also the uncanny sense of anticipating a trajectory, which defies the most obvious
Though I do not claim to have that uncanny sense of projecting trajectories of companies and markets and nations and individuals but I believe I can sometime take unconventional and non-extrapolated view of things that might be interesting to some people - if not prophetic enough to bet their savings - but amusing enough for casual reading!
You got my attention, I am amused.....eagerly waiting for more!
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